The developer of the Project Pluto software, used to track near-Earth objects, Gray, predicts that the collision will occur at 06:44 UTC.
“Elchi” reports that the rocket component, which is about the height of a five-story building, is expected to crash at seven times the speed of sound near the Einstein crater, located on the border between the visible and dark sides of the Moon.
Orbital calculations are precise
This rocket stage, which belongs to the “2025-010D” mission that launched in January 2025 and carried lunar landers, had been left in space after the launch.
Astronomer Gray states that the movement of space debris is generally predictable, but small external factors such as solar radiation pressure can cause uncertainties in these trajectories over time. According to current data, the orbits of the rocket and the Moon will intersect at the same point on August 5.
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