US intelligence does not believe that the Iranian authorities are facing the threat of collapse, despite the attacks by America and Israel that have been ongoing for about two weeks.
“Elchi” reports that three sources familiar with the US intelligence report told “Reuters” about this.
According to the interlocutors, numerous intelligence data show the same result: the Iranian leadership continues to keep the situation in the country under control, and there is currently no threat of the regime being overthrown.
Sources note that the latest intelligence analysis was prepared just a few days ago and confirms the government’s stability even after massive air attacks.
It is emphasized that despite the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on February 28 – the first day of the war – Iran’s religious-military leadership was able to unite in the shortest possible time:
The Assembly of Experts has already declared Ali Khamenei’s son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as the new supreme leader. Moreover, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which controls a significant part of the economy and security forces, continues to maintain control over the country.”
US President Donald Trump previously indicated that the largest American military operation since the 2003 Iraq War could soon end. But analysts speaking to “Reuters” say that if the hardline team supporting Iran remains in power, it will be difficult to find an acceptable end to the war.
Israeli officials also admit that there is no guarantee that the military campaign will lead to the overthrow of the Iranian regime.
The possibility of pressuring the government using Kurdish groups in Iran has also been considered. In particular, representatives of the “Komal” Party stated that thousands of young people are ready to take up arms against the government. But according to US intelligence estimates, Kurdish groups do not have enough manpower and heavy weapons to seriously fight Iranian forces.
According to sources, Kurdish organizations have appealed to Washington for weapons and armored vehicles, but have not yet received such support.
Experts believe that a large-scale ground operation that would allow internal protests to begin might be required to overthrow the regime in Iran. The Trump administration does not officially rule out the possibility of sending US troops to Iran, but no final decision has been made on this issue yet.